Capital Economics - ¿­Í¶ºê¹Û

China Chart Book

China Chart Book

China on a risky path to recovery (Jul 09)

Continued rapid loan growth in China makes the emergence of asset bubbles increasingly likely. Around a fifth of loans extended so far this year have been invested in the stock markets, according to one government researcher, and loans may also have supported a wave of speculative commodity buying and a surge in property transactions. Nonetheless, the government seems in no hurry to rein in the growth of credit, which is also driving a rebound in investment. For now, with the economy on the mend and confidence returning to property and equity markets, the consequences are benign. But the decision to rely on the banks to stimulate the economy, rather than on, say, government spending, stores up risks for the future.

Access to the full article is restricted to Capital Economics clients only.

If you are a client, please log in below to view this article.

Not a client?

To become a client, take a FREE Trial to receive information on services available from Capital Economics.

> Find out more
Close

Capital Economics

The leading macroeconomic research consultancy

The selected article is from our PUBLICATION NAME HERE publication, which is available as part of our SERVICE NAME HERE service.

SERVICE NAME HERE

SERVICE NAME HERE

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Nam tortor lacus, fringilla eget vehicula id, sodales at felis. Phasellus porttitor nibh et nisi tempor viverra. Nullam sapien est, varius ut porta vitae, dignissim varius.

> Find out more