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Capital Daily

Capital Daily contains our latest global economic and market analysis. Our other publications discuss major issues and events in greater depth, but Capital Daily meets the additional demand for more frequent commentary on day-to-day economic and market developments, as well as providing a snapshot of the big picture. It covers the US, UK, Europe and the key economies of Asia, including China and Japan, as well as hot topics in global financial markets.

Sample - Profit outlook should keep the US stock market in check

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Light at the end of the tunnel for euro-zone equities?Euro-zone equities fall further as second Greek election beckonsFears over Greece’s future in the euro-zone continue to growWhat does the future hold for bonds relative to equities?US consumers becoming more confidentUK equities for the long run?Sanguine response to political disarray in Greece unlikely to lastMarkets spooked by weak US labour market dataECB President argues austerity is the route to growthECB to resist pressure for bolder action
Strong US ISM report provides a boost to risky assetsWill the old adage about May prove prescient again?Tougher times ahead for risky assetsUS GDP growth may have slowed slightly in Q1UK back in recessionFed on the sidelinesMore bad news from the euro-zoneIncreased IMF resources won’t solve euro-zone crisisJapan’s stock market at risk of renewed strength in the yenReserve diversification won't save the euro
Limited contagion risk from events in Argentina – Spain asideChina takes another step towards financial market liberalisationChina in little immediate danger of a “hard landing”China's Q1 GDP data should ease "hard landing" fearsGlobal backdrop even more challenging than last yearCracks in market confidence widen furtherUS labour market continuing to recoverChina has more work to do to internationalise the renminbiWill German Bunds continue to outshine US Treasuries?Europe’s enhanced bail-out fund still inadequate
Does global growth chime with global equity performance?Is the Saudi Oil Minister right on oil prices?"Bernanke bounce" has little momentumOutlook still bleak for most commodity pricesTreasuries unlikely to be rocked by a buoyant labour marketShould US Treasuries fear the eventual onset of higher rates?Fears of a hard landing in China look overdoneGilts welcome UK BudgetToo soon to call the peak in goldRise in UK gilt yields not a sign of inflation fears
Brent still likely to end the year below USD100What's behind the spike in Treasury yields?Treasury yields to remain anchored by near-zero short ratesGermany on the mend?US optimism offset by concerns over Greece and ChinaDoubts over Greek debt exchange already showingAre US profit margins finally getting squeezed?Greece needs more than a successful debt exchangeBetter news still coming on inflation despite higher oil pricesISM surveys probably overstate strength of US economy
Central banks still have more work to doEquity investors may be expecting too muchECB’s liquidity provision alone cannot save the euroFed’s Bernanke unlikely to hint at QE3Markets awaiting outcome of German vote on Greek rescue dealAgreement on IMF funding unlikely at G20Iran premium in oil prices continues to climbPMIs show euro-zone in worse shape than US and UKYen may not rebound quite so farAll eyes on Greece
Greek rescue deal could yet collapseAre US equities really attractively valued relative to bonds?Greece’s proposed bail-out still hanging in the balanceMost commodity prices look set to fall sharplyRise in US break-even inflation unlikely to lastUS economic data may provide more cheer, for now at leastECB remains tight-lipped on Greek debt haircutEuro strengthens to a new high for the year against the dollarWhat to make of the sinking Baltic indexGreek deal may still not be the last word
Will the US labour market recovery run out of steam (again)?Pick-up in industrial metals prices unlikely to be sustainedIs the US stock market really so overvalued?Great start to the year – but can it last?Surging bond yields in Portugal a sign euro-zone is still in crisisCommodity markets make too much of the FedFOMC meeting provides some cheerDeflation would be worse news for equities than bondsBright start to 2012 for “risky” assets unlikely to lastFocus remains on outcome of Greek PSI negotiations
FOMC meeting to break new groundPSI deal would be no panacea for GreeceWhat next for US real yields?Strength in the US stock market unlikely to lastEuro-zone crisis still a long way from any sort of resolutionInflation in the spotlightFurther monetary easing coming soon in UK and ChinaDarker days ahead for the euroWhat next for euro-zone equities?Profit outlook should keep the US stock market in check
Treasuries brush off upbeat US employment reportEuro's slide has further to goOil prices still likely to end 2012 much lowerUS election year unlikely to provide a big boost to equitiesMarkets - 2012 could be much like 2011Outlook for US equities still gloomySurveys should highlight weakness in European economiesMomentum in the US economy unlikely to lastHow long will gold come off second best to the dollar?Oil prices likely to fall much further
Falling UK inflation bodes well for giltsEU Summit provides no relief for Italian government bondsFOMC unlikely to announce QE3 until early next yearMarkets’ reaction to hard-line ECB seems too complacentAll eyes on the ECBBunds look more vulnerable than TreasuriesIs the US labour market likely to ruffle Treasuries?ECB set to lower interest rates againLittle upside for the euro from a grand rescue planEnhanced central bank liquidity support is not a game changer
UK Chancellor sticks to his gunsAre UK gilts really a safer haven than German bunds?All eyes on Spanish and Italian bond auctionsGerman Bunds likely to remain under pressureWill monetary easing boost China's stock market?US Treasuries brush off deficit deadlockWhat next for “core” euro-zone bond markets?FOMC minutes may suggest QE3 is getting closeMore pain in SpainEMU break-up concerns likely to build
Euro-zone crisis spreads to the coreItaly – a lull in the storm?What next for the euro-zone?How will euro-zone banks cope if Italy needs a bail-out?Italy – too big to fail, too big to save?Stock market implications of labour’s plunging share of incomeWhat help from lower commodity prices?US employment report paints a mixed pictureECB action looks too little, too lateCannes you help?
Optimism evaporatesIntervention unlikely to weaken the yen for longCentral banks back in focusEuro-zone policymakers' latest grand plan lacks teethWill euro-zone policymakers disappoint markets?All eyes on euro-zone policymakersPoliticians fiddle as euro-zone slides into recessionWaiting for a euro-zone rescue planHow much capital is enough capital?Fundamentals for commodities not so great after all
Prospects for inflation should prove favourable for UK giltsWill flagging earnings undermine the US stock market?Emerging economies to help those who help themselves10-year US Treasury yields to fall back to 1.5%Markets put their faith in Europe's politiciansDollar’s recovery not over yetWhat should we make of China's purchases of bank shares?US labour market still quite weakMarkets unimpressed by UK launch of QE2Bank recapitalisation unlikely to draw a line under the crisis
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